Ubique I agree with every single point you have written there. Perhaps I should say that Knox Johnson was least likely to win because of the vessel really, which leaked pretty well from the start. He was an experienced seaman. For me when everything blows up it is not really a point of concern at all for me….. given my preparation, unless of course we have a military conflict. (Here we are not a military target though!) Earthquake and tidal waves would be formidable opponents and I deliberately disregarded any major sort of preparation for those given that we then throw ourselves at their mercy…… I have enough food, water and medical supplies….. so have focused my efforts towards defense…..I have no intention of going anywhere! Anything that cuts, can be shot, fired from a bow or sling I have tried to make at some time…..and have settled on a slam fire, with lots of mechanical alarms …….tasers, take downs and machetes…. With most of them….. the average person would walk straight past without seeing their potential. I do not keep any assembled illegal weapon. Legal ones are bad enough! As a SHTF is hardly ever spontaneous,….in a very short time I can construct everything that I could possible need for my use. Imagine having all the legal ingredients of a cake, that just needs to be baked …….is a good way of describing things! In fact every item I have have has been purchased legally in the local stores. But I have some great recipes! An important part of my preparation is to look how I can utilize what is around me…. I do not subscribe to the notion of replacement items ……simply because I do not think it practical. I think that my threat comes from impulse, walk by crime, and they could find many easier targets than me to feast on……. with a little persuasion if necessary! Leave me alone in a typical commercial garage for a while and I can create some works of wonder for survival. Ingenuity is how others have survived and your local dump is a wonderland of supplies that people throw away…… Since building my Garage about 6 years ago I have been able to play a lot in my spare time. I have made things for testing that can be used in an emergency situation like Fema Gasifier, BP, Water maker using distillation, solar power etc that have already be proven by others. I keep only the ones that cannot be constructed easily in a short period of time. I am now 67 and very mobile but at some point expect my daughter to take over the home I have ……..so I am writing a sort of How To Manual for her to avoid having to learn all the things I have that have taken many hours learning about …….but she should be aware of…..for a survival situation. It is a step by step Dummies guide to survival really………. I would like to share that with anyone that wanted it when it is finished……. but I, like many are wary of the dangers of saying too much on the internet and am as paranoid, as others, about who may be listening in! But the one thing I base my preparation on is……. I do not believe help will come…….. Katrina was a good example of that……..the error was waiting for that help! And its a great hobby of sorts!!!