There are over 4.3 million global cases. There have been nearly 300,000 deaths around the globe. There are over 1.4 million cases in the US. Daily US case growth is plateauing at a peak of 20-30,000 cases per day—although there has recently been a consistent (yet slight) downtrend. There have been over 1,500 deaths in the US since yesterday.
Restaurant reopening isn’t going too great in the South. Folks aren’t quite ready to resume business as usual. The number of diners is down by over 80% according to Open Table data. The current behavior of consumers shows that folks betting on a rapid economic recovery are soon to be disappointed. The truth is, people are still afraid:
4 in 5 Americans concerned or afraid of second wave, poll finds https://t.co/4zA7q0ZrNa
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) May 12, 2020
There’s a growing number of case reports of Kawasaki disease or Kawasaki-like syndrome in pediatric COVID-19-exposed patients. Some of these children had been asymptomatic but had antibodies to SARS-CoV-2. Kawasaki disease is an inflammatory disease that can cause damage to the heart and blood vessels. It is often fatal:
UPDATE: Now 38 children with Kawasaki-like syndrome in New York City. Initial cohort of 15 cases reported May 4. Of verified cases, 47% tested positive for #coronavirus. Of those who tested negative, 81% have antibodies. Three confirmed fatalities; two more under investigation.
— Matt McCarthy (@DrMattMcCarthy) May 11, 2020
Has the pandemic virus been in Ohio since January? Antibody testing shows this may be a reality. Perhaps it was circulating longer than we knew.
This awesome dashboard shows that NY’s hospitals are moving in the right direction— hospitalizations are decreasing, ICUs are not completely overrun, testing and contact tracing rates are being monitored.
Bergamo is approaching herd immunity in the community, but not among its healthcare workers:
This is fascinating; Bergamo COVID-19 antibody seroprevalence in the general population was 61% by the end of April. Healthcare workers only 23%.
— David Fisman (@DFisman) May 12, 2020
The kind of population saturation that Bergamo is experiencing is not entirely unanticipated. It may be coming to a region near you.
Putin’s Spokesperson is now positive. Russia is now third in the world in number of cases:
BREAKING: Russian President Vladimir Putin's spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, has been hospitalized with the coronavirus. https://t.co/amCxiXvV1D
— AP Europe (@AP_Europe) May 12, 2020
Fauci says we should not be cavalier with children’s lives by assuming they won’t be in danger from the virus. Fauci also says we can’t assume vaccines will be ready for fall school re-openings:
‘We don't know everything about this virus … I think we'd better be careful that we are not cavalier in thinking that children are completely immune to the deleterious effects’: Dr. Anthony Fauci clashed with Senator Paul on when to reopen schools https://t.co/pBPiFzzrno pic.twitter.com/l1AVFk470G
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 13, 2020
Los Angeles County may extend its stay-at-home order until August:
#BREAKING L.A. County's stay-at-home order will likely remain in place for the next three months unless there is a "dramatic change to the virus and tools at hand," officials sayhttps://t.co/6R50DAAYJ5
— ABC7 Eyewitness News (@ABC7) May 12, 2020
The CDC has a history of making lax personal protective equipment (PPE) recommendations for healthcare providers in the context of outbreaks. When Ebola broke out in 2015, I knew it would come to the US through air travel, and I knew that based on patently lax PPE recommendations that nurses and other clinicians were likely to contract Ebola. The recommendations were lax in 2015, and clinicians did get Ebola. I anticipated this happening again in the US with COVID-19, and it has—either I’m prescient, or the CDC isn’t doing the best job.