World-wide cases have doubled in a week. There are now more than a million cumulative cases. NY, Italy, and Spain are hot spots.
The Pentagon is seeking to supply 100,000 body bags to FEMA. The body bags are intended for civilian use amidst the growing pandemic crisis. The Pentagon maintains an extant stockpile of 50,000. The federal government projects 200,000 deaths from COVID-19 based on disease modeling.
A quarantine food calculator! It’s excellent. It recommended over 60 eggs for a family of 5 for two weeks. My family of 5 ate 46 eggs in the last two weeks. It calls for a little more bell pepper than I’d like, but in general it’s very useful and it illustrates just how much food your family needs for whatever period of time you choose. You’ll need more food than you think…
More than half of a large group of Spring-breakers got sick and brought home the pandemic virus with them. There have been many reports of teens and twenty-somethings refusing to practice social distancing during the pandemic. Recalcitrant churchgoers around the world are also driving viral spread.
US unemployment claims have doubled since last week and are now at 6.6 million for the week, bringing the two-week total to over 10 million. The numbers are worse than expected.
Lessons from Italy: the biggest mistake was mixing COVID-19 patients with non-COVID patients in the same hospitals—it facilitated nosocomial spread and the infection of clinicians. Separate structures, COVID hospitals, are needed. Another mistake was sending the overflow of sick patients to assisted-living facilities for the aged. Large hospitals were also a point of failure—the use of smaller, more nodal facilities would have helped contain the spread.
France is going to pay businesses to keep them from going under. Will the US bailouts keep business afloat, or will that money get off-shored while millions are laid off? Is either method sustainable?
Folks in the South are still traveling a lot for work and for essential business. Rural expanse is responsible for much of this, but ideology may be at play, as well.
Play with epidemic forecasting models. It’s fun and morbid.
Antibiotic-resistant organisms can stymie effective treatment for COVID-19 and result in worse outcomes and more deaths. Secondary bacterial infections are common.
Duterte says those who violate lockdown could be shot: “My orders are to the police and military, as well as village officials, if there is any trouble, or occasions where there’s violence and your lives are in danger, shoot them dead.”
Navy Commander relieved from carrier command after requesting evacuation for stuck, sick sailors. Navy leadership feels his broad discussion of concerns was “poor judgment.” Protecting intelligence on operational readiness is certainly important, but so is keeping your sailors alive when preventive measures will do the trick.
Huge numbers of health care workers are getting sick in the US:
UPDATE: More than 750 hospital employees in Massachusetts have tested positive for COVID-19, according to a tally I've been keeping.
These includes workers in clinical & non-clinical roles.
The hospitals with the most cases are below.
— Mike Saccone (@mikesacconetv) April 2, 2020
NY and LA Mayors call for face-covering; Iran and Italy show improvement, Turkey gets worse; lots of interesting data to sift through:
BREAKING: Coronavirus Outbreak. Today world has over 1M cases, 52,932 deaths.
US over 27,896 new cases today. NYC and LA mayors declare face covering / masks for public use.
UK catching up to EU due to lax early policy. pic.twitter.com/gZ0Se5SFWr
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) April 2, 2020
NY has 45 mobile morgues:
"New York City has already set up 45 new mobile morgues. Local crematories are now allowed to work around the clock. At one Brooklyn hospital, the in-house morgue was filled to capacity on Tuesday. The next day, the nursing staff ran out of body bags."https://t.co/ErBU1BXCaY
— Richard H. Ebright (@R_H_Ebright) April 2, 2020