The world has over 49 million cases. The world has added over 4 million cases since last Thursday. Case growth is climbing precipitously. There have been over 1.2 million deaths in total. The US has nearly 10 million cases. Over 240,000 Americans have died—over 1,000 in the last 24 hours. The US has gained over 113,000 new cases since yesterday, which is staggering. The US leads the world in case growth. Trends in the US are not looking great:
Our daily update is published. States reported record numbers of tests (1.5 million) and cases (116k). Hospitalizations continue their sharp rise. The death toll was 1,124. pic.twitter.com/z3gxwP6EaC
— The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) November 6, 2020
Bird flu is always bad news, but a mink-variant of SARS-CoV-2 could be really bad news. The mink variant reportedly has jumped back into the human population, infecting 12. Why does this matter? Because our vaccines aren’t for the mink variant. Denmark has activated its army to cull 17 million mink. This may be serious, and it’s something to keep an eye on. One caveat—this information is all from press releases. We’re waiting on the actual science/data. But I am concerned:
OK, so now we have avian flu in the Netherlands (in birds, not humans) and a mink variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Denmark in humans (consequences of adaptive mink mutations unknown). Great week so far.
— Florian Krammer (@florian_krammer) November 4, 2020
Denmark is taking the situation quite seriously:
— AI6YR (@ai6yrham) November 5, 2020
I don’t envy public health workers the task of building trust with American antivaxxers. But a serious public health campaign is going to have to push forward if we want our vaccine programs to work:
The majority of Americans will need to take the coming #COVID19 vaccine. Dr. @noelTbrewer says, “Most people are open to vaccinating, and they just need to have the path to vaccination simplified.” https://t.co/FKjFAL1esQ
— UNC Public Health (@UNCpublichealth) November 4, 2020
Greece may be going back into lockdown:
NEW: Greece preparing to announce nationwide coronavirus lockdown, local newspaper reports https://t.co/OjKTUh6l41
— BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) November 4, 2020
Nobody in the world beats our 6-figure daily COVID case growth:
United States tops 100,000 new coronavirus cases in a day for first time https://t.co/ZIYuJqcfV3
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) November 4, 2020
The Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine roll-out will be pushed back a bit, and the initial lot of doses will be smaller than originally anticipated. Production is not yet available at scale, but manufacturing is expected to scale to hundreds of millions of doses by summer of 2021.
Gracious folks are delivering meals to El Paso’s tent hospitals:
WCK’s Sigrid checking in from El Paso, Texas. We’re now providing meals at University Medical Center where the hospital has set up isolation tents for patients after being overwhelmed by a surge in Covid. The US recorded 100,000+ cases for the first time today. #ChefsForAmerica pic.twitter.com/edBNa3ksx2
— World Central Kitchen (@WCKitchen) November 5, 2020
The Swedish PM is isolating after a potential exposure:
— Crawford Kilian (@Crof) November 5, 2020
School openings cause a small but not insignificant increase in R (by about ¼). If R is 0.5, then school openings are probably manageable, but when R>1 in most of the US, it’s probably not a great idea.
More case studies of Parkinsonism in former COVID patients:
More indications of brain effects https://t.co/PdykxqJ8jN
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) November 5, 2020
The CIDRAP Scan usually has a few well-explained articles, case studies, or COVID topics to review. Today’s describes a 70-day virus shedding event in a cancer patient. What’s interesting is that the patient was asymptomatic for COVID.