Jon – thanks for writing this. Curious, do you still feel the scenarios and probability are the same now in 2024 as they were in 2019? Referencing these: EMP scenariosIn the popular imagination, the term “EMP” is shorthand for a scary grab-bag of natural and man-made electromagnetic phenomena. All of this bad stuff is jumbled together into a giant, terrifying doomsday knot, but really there are only a handful of distinct scenarios that experts warn about: The sun and a powerful solar event: inevitable at some point, resulting in everything from tens of millions without power for weeks to total long-term collapse.Countries with advanced militaries and nuclear-tipped ICBMs: low probability most of the time (depending on geopolitical conditions), with impacts that range from large regional disruptions of critical infrastructure to total long-term collapse.Rogue states and intermediate-range nuclear missiles: low probability, with limited geographic impact.Terrorists and ground-based nukes: extremely low probability, limited geographic impact.Anyone and a dedicated EMP weapon (i.e. a microwave bomb): essentially zero probability, and limited geographic impact.