Discussions

This is only my second time posting here.  This scenario worries me a lot.  We’re in a drought, so I don’t think this risk really registers with a lot of people, but the record-breaking 5″ of rain in 24 hours in the Sac area last winter got me thinking…  I had read about the Ark Storm before.  The issue isn’t just getting to high ground.  Higher ground is also going to be hit with flash floods and potential landslides.  I can evacuate to an area of the Valley not anticipated to flood, but with potentially over a million people impacted, that’s going to cause huge stress on the system even in areas that are not flooded.  Not to mention shutting down transportation (rail tracks underwater, delivery trucks potentially unable it make it over the Sierra on either 50 or 80, etc.).  What would I even take if there was the potential to have to evacuate for months, with the possibility of having nothing left to return to?  We do carry flood insurance, and always have, despite not being in a “required” area.  And yes, the local news channels get WAY too excited every time we have a storm.  Knowing when to leave will be vital.  Likely the best anyone can do in that regard is follow the National Weather Service, who remain somewhat calmer when it rains, lol.  I think I read the modeled scenarios all take place during an El Nino year, and I believe this upcoming winter is forecast for another/continuing La Nina.  I’m also worried about increased heat for the next El Nino, since this summer actually hasn’t been too bad so far.  I suppose the only upside is that there would be plenty of advance warning for a series of ARs.

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This is only my second time posting here.  This scenario worries me a lot.  We’re in a drought, so I don’t think this risk really registers with a lot of people, but the record-breaking 5″ of rain in 24 hours in the Sac area last winter got me thinking…  I had read about the Ark Storm before.  The issue isn’t just getting to high ground.  Higher ground is also going to be hit with flash floods and potential landslides.  I can evacuate to an area of the Valley not anticipated to flood, but with potentially over a million people impacted, that’s going to cause huge stress on the system even in areas that are not flooded.  Not to mention shutting down transportation (rail tracks underwater, delivery trucks potentially unable it make it over the Sierra on either 50 or 80, etc.).  What would I even take if there was the potential to have to evacuate for months, with the possibility of having nothing left to return to?  We do carry flood insurance, and always have, despite not being in a “required” area.  And yes, the local news channels get WAY too excited every time we have a storm.  Knowing when to leave will be vital.  Likely the best anyone can do in that regard is follow the National Weather Service, who remain somewhat calmer when it rains, lol.  I think I read the modeled scenarios all take place during an El Nino year, and I believe this upcoming winter is forecast for another/continuing La Nina.  I’m also worried about increased heat for the next El Nino, since this summer actually hasn’t been too bad so far.  I suppose the only upside is that there would be plenty of advance warning for a series of ARs.