Scott Robinson - Member - The Prepared

Discussions

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 2, 2020

Not all physician programs require statistics. Some require embryology, but statistics would be more useful.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

Susie, Harvard docs are much better after they’ve been in actual practice for 20 yrs like the Bakersfield duo. Newly minted ones have to keep their black books with them (iPhones nowadays). What they look up has limited practical applicability.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

Seems right to me. Why divide 100/population first?

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

So many people don’t seem to get this, Jill. I don’t know why. Ultimately, we will have a much better approximation of the picture with antibody testing, but I wonder how many will actually admit they were wrong (there are all kind of statistical gymnastics that can be used to hold onto fiction).

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

His extrapolation is obviously a worst case scenario. Does anybody think the disease stops with those tested? The case rate doesn’t stop increasing in non-tested, but the death rate most certainly does. So his conclusion: big numbers of infected, small numbers of deaths.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

You bet, Lisa. Can’t see why so many don’t get that. Maybe we’re sampling in the communion line.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

No need for invective, I know the contention is tedious and doesn’t move the ball at all. However, Matt, your explanations have been quite clear and reasonable. Bottom line is what Ericksen said: lots of infection, few deaths per infected. The lots of infection is probably what makes this somewhat worse than bad flu.

No activity yet.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 2, 2020

Not all physician programs require statistics. Some require embryology, but statistics would be more useful.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

Susie, Harvard docs are much better after they’ve been in actual practice for 20 yrs like the Bakersfield duo. Newly minted ones have to keep their black books with them (iPhones nowadays). What they look up has limited practical applicability.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

Seems right to me. Why divide 100/population first?

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted May 1, 2020

So many people don’t seem to get this, Jill. I don’t know why. Ultimately, we will have a much better approximation of the picture with antibody testing, but I wonder how many will actually admit they were wrong (there are all kind of statistical gymnastics that can be used to hold onto fiction).

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

His extrapolation is obviously a worst case scenario. Does anybody think the disease stops with those tested? The case rate doesn’t stop increasing in non-tested, but the death rate most certainly does. So his conclusion: big numbers of infected, small numbers of deaths.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

You bet, Lisa. Can’t see why so many don’t get that. Maybe we’re sampling in the communion line.

Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

No need for invective, I know the contention is tedious and doesn’t move the ball at all. However, Matt, your explanations have been quite clear and reasonable. Bottom line is what Ericksen said: lots of infection, few deaths per infected. The lots of infection is probably what makes this somewhat worse than bad flu.