Marshall Pickett - Member - The Prepared

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Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

Your allegation that his method is flawed is flawed. You state his extrapolation of the positive test percentage to a population is incorrect because only people with symptoms are tested. This seems to prove his point even more. We are beginning to understand that the number of positive cases is much higher, as much as 50 times higher, from the antibody tests. Therefore, the death rate is even lower, which makes it statistically comparable to the flu. There are 989K cases in the US. out of 5.6M tested. So if you extrapolate that’s 17.7% testing positive or extrapolated 58.4M have been infected, which is probably much higher. With 56K deaths that’s a death rate of .1% or much lower, which is comparable to flu.

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Reply to: Dr. Erickson’s viral “COVID-19 Briefing” video is dangerously wrong Posted April 28, 2020

Your allegation that his method is flawed is flawed. You state his extrapolation of the positive test percentage to a population is incorrect because only people with symptoms are tested. This seems to prove his point even more. We are beginning to understand that the number of positive cases is much higher, as much as 50 times higher, from the antibody tests. Therefore, the death rate is even lower, which makes it statistically comparable to the flu. There are 989K cases in the US. out of 5.6M tested. So if you extrapolate that’s 17.7% testing positive or extrapolated 58.4M have been infected, which is probably much higher. With 56K deaths that’s a death rate of .1% or much lower, which is comparable to flu.